Campbell Systematic Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

EBSIX Fund  USD 9.69  0.02  0.21%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Campbell Systematic Macro on the next trading day is expected to be 9.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88. Campbell Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Campbell Systematic Macro is based on a synthetically constructed Campbell Systematicdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Campbell Systematic 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Campbell Systematic Macro on the next trading day is expected to be 9.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Campbell Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Campbell Systematic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Campbell Systematic Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Campbell SystematicCampbell Systematic Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Campbell Systematic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Campbell Systematic's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Campbell Systematic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.03 and 10.34, respectively. We have considered Campbell Systematic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.69
9.68
Expected Value
10.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Campbell Systematic mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Campbell Systematic mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria77.1392
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0723
MADMean absolute deviation0.0946
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0098
SAESum of the absolute errors3.88
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Campbell Systematic Macro 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Campbell Systematic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Campbell Systematic Macro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.049.6910.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.019.6610.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Campbell Systematic

For every potential investor in Campbell, whether a beginner or expert, Campbell Systematic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Campbell Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Campbell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Campbell Systematic's price trends.

Campbell Systematic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Campbell Systematic mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Campbell Systematic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Campbell Systematic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Campbell Systematic Macro Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Campbell Systematic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Campbell Systematic's current price.

Campbell Systematic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Campbell Systematic mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Campbell Systematic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Campbell Systematic mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Campbell Systematic Macro entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Campbell Systematic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Campbell Systematic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Campbell Systematic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting campbell mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Campbell Mutual Fund

Campbell Systematic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Campbell Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Campbell with respect to the benefits of owning Campbell Systematic security.
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios