Denison Mines Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| DNN Stock | USD 2.30 0.03 1.32% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Denison Mines Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.66. Denison Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Denison Mines' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Denison Mines' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Denison Mines fundamentals over time.
Denison |
Denison Mines Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Denison Mines' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1997-12-31 | Previous Quarter 121.1 M | Current Value 105.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 38.2 M |
Denison Mines Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Denison Mines Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Denison Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Denison Mines' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Denison Mines Stock Forecast Pattern
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Denison Mines Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Denison Mines' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Denison Mines' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.04, respectively. We have considered Denison Mines' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Denison Mines stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Denison Mines stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3482 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0764 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.038 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.6574 |
Predictive Modules for Denison Mines
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Denison Mines Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Denison Mines
For every potential investor in Denison, whether a beginner or expert, Denison Mines' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Denison Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Denison. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Denison Mines' price trends.Denison Mines Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Denison Mines stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Denison Mines could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Denison Mines by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Denison Mines Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Denison Mines' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Denison Mines' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Denison Mines Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Denison Mines stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Denison Mines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Denison Mines stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Denison Mines Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Denison Mines Risk Indicators
The analysis of Denison Mines' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Denison Mines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting denison stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Variance | 12.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Denison Mines Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Denison Mines' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Denison Mines Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Denison Mines Corp Stock: Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Denison Mines to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Denison Mines. If investors know Denison will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Denison Mines listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share 0.004 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets (0.06) | Return On Equity (0.05) |
The market value of Denison Mines Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Denison that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Denison Mines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Denison Mines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Denison Mines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Denison Mines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Denison Mines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Denison Mines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Denison Mines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.