Dun Bradstreet Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

DNB Stock  USD 9.07  0.02  0.22%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dun Bradstreet Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.68. Dun Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dun Bradstreet stock prices and determine the direction of Dun Bradstreet Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dun Bradstreet's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Dun Bradstreet's Inventory Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 15.70, whereas Asset Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.26. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 454 M, whereas Net Loss is projected to grow to (2 M).

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 Dun Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dun Bradstreet's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dun Bradstreet's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dun Bradstreet stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dun Bradstreet's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dun Bradstreet's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dun Bradstreet is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dun. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Dun Bradstreet price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Dun Bradstreet Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Dun Bradstreet Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 9.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dun Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dun Bradstreet's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dun Bradstreet Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dun Bradstreet Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dun Bradstreet's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dun Bradstreet's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.90 and 12.06, respectively. We have considered Dun Bradstreet's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.07
9.98
Expected Value
12.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dun Bradstreet stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dun Bradstreet stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1525
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4702
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0426
SAESum of the absolute errors28.6839
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Dun Bradstreet Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Dun Bradstreet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dun Bradstreet Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.989.0711.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.869.9512.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.1010.4412.79
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.0814.3715.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dun Bradstreet

For every potential investor in Dun, whether a beginner or expert, Dun Bradstreet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dun Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dun. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dun Bradstreet's price trends.

Dun Bradstreet Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dun Bradstreet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dun Bradstreet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dun Bradstreet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dun Bradstreet Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dun Bradstreet's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dun Bradstreet's current price.

Dun Bradstreet Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dun Bradstreet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dun Bradstreet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dun Bradstreet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dun Bradstreet Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dun Bradstreet Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dun Bradstreet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dun Bradstreet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dun stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Dun Bradstreet Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Dun Bradstreet's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dun Bradstreet Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dun Bradstreet Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dun Bradstreet to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dun Bradstreet. If investors know Dun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dun Bradstreet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
(0.07)
Revenue Per Share
5.509
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.002
The market value of Dun Bradstreet Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dun that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dun Bradstreet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dun Bradstreet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dun Bradstreet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dun Bradstreet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dun Bradstreet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dun Bradstreet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dun Bradstreet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.