DOMESCO Medical Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

DMC Stock   66,000  700.00  1.07%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DOMESCO Medical Import on the next trading day is expected to be 66,162 with a mean absolute deviation of 858.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52,339. DOMESCO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for DOMESCO Medical is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of DOMESCO Medical Import value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

DOMESCO Medical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of DOMESCO Medical Import on the next trading day is expected to be 66,162 with a mean absolute deviation of 858.01, mean absolute percentage error of 1,182,262, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52,339.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DOMESCO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DOMESCO Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DOMESCO Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest DOMESCO MedicalDOMESCO Medical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

DOMESCO Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DOMESCO Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DOMESCO Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66,160 and 66,163, respectively. We have considered DOMESCO Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
66,000
66,160
Downside
66,162
Expected Value
66,163
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DOMESCO Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DOMESCO Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria132.0934
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation858.0145
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0129
SAESum of the absolute errors52338.8843
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of DOMESCO Medical Import. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict DOMESCO Medical. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for DOMESCO Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DOMESCO Medical Import. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
65,99866,00066,002
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56,17356,17572,600
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DOMESCO Medical

For every potential investor in DOMESCO, whether a beginner or expert, DOMESCO Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DOMESCO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DOMESCO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DOMESCO Medical's price trends.

DOMESCO Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DOMESCO Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DOMESCO Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DOMESCO Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DOMESCO Medical Import Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DOMESCO Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DOMESCO Medical's current price.

DOMESCO Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DOMESCO Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DOMESCO Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DOMESCO Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DOMESCO Medical Import entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DOMESCO Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of DOMESCO Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DOMESCO Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting domesco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with DOMESCO Medical

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if DOMESCO Medical position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in DOMESCO Medical will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with DOMESCO Stock

  0.67ADS Damsan JSCPairCorr
  0.78AAA An Phat PlasticPairCorr
  0.83AME Alphanam MEPairCorr
  0.65APG APG Securities JointPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to DOMESCO Medical could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace DOMESCO Medical when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back DOMESCO Medical - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling DOMESCO Medical Import to buy it.
The correlation of DOMESCO Medical is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as DOMESCO Medical moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if DOMESCO Medical Import moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for DOMESCO Medical can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in DOMESCO Stock

DOMESCO Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether DOMESCO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DOMESCO with respect to the benefits of owning DOMESCO Medical security.