Delaware Healthcare Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

DLRHX Fund  USD 23.44  0.14  0.60%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Delaware Healthcare Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 23.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.86. Delaware Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Delaware Healthcare Fund is based on a synthetically constructed Delaware Healthcaredaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Delaware Healthcare 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Delaware Healthcare Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 23.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.26, mean absolute percentage error of 2.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Delaware Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Delaware Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Delaware Healthcare Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Delaware HealthcareDelaware Healthcare Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Delaware Healthcare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Delaware Healthcare's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Delaware Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.50 and 25.04, respectively. We have considered Delaware Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.44
23.27
Expected Value
25.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Delaware Healthcare mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Delaware Healthcare mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.2823
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.2254
MADMean absolute deviation1.2649
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0524
SAESum of the absolute errors51.86
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Delaware Healthcare 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Delaware Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delaware Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6723.4425.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.2424.0125.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Delaware Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Delaware Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Delaware Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Delaware Healthcare.

Other Forecasting Options for Delaware Healthcare

For every potential investor in Delaware, whether a beginner or expert, Delaware Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Delaware Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Delaware. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Delaware Healthcare's price trends.

Delaware Healthcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Delaware Healthcare mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Delaware Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Delaware Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Delaware Healthcare Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Delaware Healthcare's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Delaware Healthcare's current price.

Delaware Healthcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Delaware Healthcare mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Delaware Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Delaware Healthcare mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Delaware Healthcare Fund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Delaware Healthcare Risk Indicators

The analysis of Delaware Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Delaware Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting delaware mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Delaware Mutual Fund

Delaware Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delaware Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delaware with respect to the benefits of owning Delaware Healthcare security.
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios