Daikin Industries Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

DKILY Stock  USD 11.22  0.21  1.84%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Daikin Industries Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 11.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58. Daikin Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Daikin Industries simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Daikin Industries Ltd are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Daikin Industries prices get older.

Daikin Industries Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Daikin Industries Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 11.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Daikin Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Daikin Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Daikin Industries Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Daikin Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Daikin Industries' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Daikin Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.46 and 12.98, respectively. We have considered Daikin Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.22
11.22
Expected Value
12.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Daikin Industries pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Daikin Industries pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0847
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0302
MADMean absolute deviation0.1734
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0139
SAESum of the absolute errors10.58
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Daikin Industries Ltd forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Daikin Industries observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Daikin Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daikin Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.4611.2212.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1611.9213.68
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Daikin Industries

For every potential investor in Daikin, whether a beginner or expert, Daikin Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Daikin Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Daikin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Daikin Industries' price trends.

Daikin Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Daikin Industries pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Daikin Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Daikin Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Daikin Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Daikin Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Daikin Industries' current price.

Daikin Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Daikin Industries pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Daikin Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Daikin Industries pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Daikin Industries Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Daikin Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of Daikin Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Daikin Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting daikin pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Daikin Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Daikin Industries' price analysis, check to measure Daikin Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Daikin Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Daikin Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Daikin Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Daikin Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Daikin Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.