Daikin IndustriesLtd Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DKILF Stock  USD 116.00  1.36  1.16%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Daikin IndustriesLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 116.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 248.10. Daikin Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Daikin IndustriesLtd's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Daikin IndustriesLtd works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Daikin IndustriesLtd Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Daikin IndustriesLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 116.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.14, mean absolute percentage error of 29.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 248.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Daikin Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Daikin IndustriesLtd's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Daikin IndustriesLtd Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Daikin IndustriesLtdDaikin IndustriesLtd Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Daikin IndustriesLtd Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Daikin IndustriesLtd's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Daikin IndustriesLtd's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 111.54 and 120.50, respectively. We have considered Daikin IndustriesLtd's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
116.00
111.54
Downside
116.02
Expected Value
120.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Daikin IndustriesLtd pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Daikin IndustriesLtd pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7369
MADMean absolute deviation4.1351
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0332
SAESum of the absolute errors248.1049
When Daikin IndustriesLtd prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Daikin IndustriesLtd trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Daikin IndustriesLtd observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Daikin IndustriesLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daikin IndustriesLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.52116.00120.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.98102.46127.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Daikin IndustriesLtd

For every potential investor in Daikin, whether a beginner or expert, Daikin IndustriesLtd's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Daikin Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Daikin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Daikin IndustriesLtd's price trends.

Daikin IndustriesLtd Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Daikin IndustriesLtd pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Daikin IndustriesLtd could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Daikin IndustriesLtd by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Daikin IndustriesLtd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Daikin IndustriesLtd's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Daikin IndustriesLtd's current price.

Daikin IndustriesLtd Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Daikin IndustriesLtd pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Daikin IndustriesLtd shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Daikin IndustriesLtd pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Daikin IndustriesLtd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Daikin IndustriesLtd Risk Indicators

The analysis of Daikin IndustriesLtd's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Daikin IndustriesLtd's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting daikin pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Daikin Pink Sheet

Daikin IndustriesLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daikin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daikin with respect to the benefits of owning Daikin IndustriesLtd security.