Delta Electronics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Delta Electronics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Delta Electronics Public value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Delta Electronics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Delta Electronics Public on the next trading day is expected to be 139.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.00, mean absolute percentage error of 26.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 248.27.

Delta Electronics Stock Forecast Pattern

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Delta Electronics Price Prediction

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Delta Electronics Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Delta Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Delta Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Delta Electronics Public. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Delta Electronics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Delta Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delta Electronics Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 147.31 150.50 153.69 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 117.67 120.85 165.55 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 135.78 154.45 173.12 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Delta Electronics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Delta Electronics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Delta Electronics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Delta Electronics Public.

Other Forecasting Options for Delta Electronics

For every potential investor in Delta, whether a beginner or expert, Delta Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Delta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Delta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Delta Electronics' price trends.

Delta Electronics Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Delta Electronics Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Delta Electronics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Delta Electronics' current price.

Delta Electronics Market Strength Events

Delta Electronics Risk Indicators

Other Information on Investing in Delta Stock