DBS Group Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

DBSDF Stock  USD 32.50  0.41  1.28%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of DBS Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 32.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.27. DBS Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DBS Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for DBS Group is based on an artificially constructed time series of DBS Group daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

DBS Group 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of DBS Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 32.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DBS Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DBS Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DBS Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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DBS Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DBS Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DBS Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.02 and 36.79, respectively. We have considered DBS Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.50
32.40
Expected Value
36.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DBS Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DBS Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.3386
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2551
MADMean absolute deviation0.8569
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0277
SAESum of the absolute errors46.2725
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. DBS Group Holdings 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for DBS Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DBS Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DBS Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.1132.5036.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.1526.5435.75
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DBS Group

For every potential investor in DBS, whether a beginner or expert, DBS Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DBS Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DBS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DBS Group's price trends.

DBS Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DBS Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DBS Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DBS Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DBS Group Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DBS Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DBS Group's current price.

DBS Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DBS Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DBS Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DBS Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify DBS Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DBS Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of DBS Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DBS Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dbs pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in DBS Pink Sheet

DBS Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether DBS Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DBS with respect to the benefits of owning DBS Group security.