Dataproces Group Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

DATA Stock  DKK 5.65  0.15  2.73%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dataproces Group AS on the next trading day is expected to be 5.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.96. Dataproces Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Dataproces Group is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Dataproces Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dataproces Group AS on the next trading day is expected to be 5.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dataproces Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dataproces Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dataproces Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dataproces GroupDataproces Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dataproces Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dataproces Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dataproces Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.01 and 8.29, respectively. We have considered Dataproces Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.65
5.65
Expected Value
8.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dataproces Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dataproces Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.5868
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0119
MADMean absolute deviation0.118
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0213
SAESum of the absolute errors6.96
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Dataproces Group AS price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Dataproces Group. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Dataproces Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dataproces Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.015.658.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.034.677.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dataproces Group

For every potential investor in Dataproces, whether a beginner or expert, Dataproces Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dataproces Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dataproces. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dataproces Group's price trends.

Dataproces Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dataproces Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dataproces Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dataproces Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dataproces Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dataproces Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dataproces Group's current price.

Dataproces Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dataproces Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dataproces Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dataproces Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dataproces Group AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dataproces Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dataproces Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dataproces Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dataproces stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Dataproces Group

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dataproces Group position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dataproces Group will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Dataproces Stock

  0.62NETC Netcompany GroupPairCorr

Moving against Dataproces Stock

  0.81CARL-A Carlsberg ASPairCorr
  0.73NOVO-B Novo Nordisk ASPairCorr
  0.63CARL-B Carlsberg ASPairCorr
  0.63JYSK Jyske Bank ASPairCorr
  0.59PNDORA Pandora ASPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dataproces Group could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dataproces Group when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dataproces Group - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dataproces Group AS to buy it.
The correlation of Dataproces Group is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dataproces Group moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dataproces Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dataproces Group can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Dataproces Stock

Dataproces Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dataproces Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dataproces with respect to the benefits of owning Dataproces Group security.