Core Lithium Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CXO Stock   0.09  0  1.15%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Core Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.26. Core Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Core Lithium's Common Stock Total Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 2.2 B in 2024, whereas Net Receivables is likely to drop slightly above 978.6 K in 2024.
Triple exponential smoothing for Core Lithium - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Core Lithium prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Core Lithium price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Core Lithium.

Core Lithium Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Core Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Core Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Core Lithium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Core Lithium Stock Forecast Pattern

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Core Lithium Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Core Lithium's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Core Lithium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 6.05, respectively. We have considered Core Lithium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.09
0.0009
Downside
0.09
Expected Value
6.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Core Lithium stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Core Lithium stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 9.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0045
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0404
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2647
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Core Lithium observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Core Lithium observations.

Predictive Modules for Core Lithium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Core Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.096.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.086.05
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0025-0.0010.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Core Lithium

For every potential investor in Core, whether a beginner or expert, Core Lithium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Core Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Core. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Core Lithium's price trends.

Core Lithium Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Core Lithium stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Core Lithium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Core Lithium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Core Lithium Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Core Lithium's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Core Lithium's current price.

Core Lithium Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Core Lithium stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Core Lithium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Core Lithium stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Core Lithium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Core Lithium Risk Indicators

The analysis of Core Lithium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Core Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting core stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Core Stock Analysis

When running Core Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Core Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Core Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Core Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Core Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Core Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Core Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.