Herzfeld Caribbean Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

CUBA Fund  USD 2.47  0.02  0.82%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Herzfeld Caribbean Basin on the next trading day is expected to be 2.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.87. Herzfeld Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Herzfeld Caribbean stock prices and determine the direction of Herzfeld Caribbean Basin's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Herzfeld Caribbean's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Herzfeld Caribbean polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Herzfeld Caribbean Basin as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Herzfeld Caribbean Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Herzfeld Caribbean Basin on the next trading day is expected to be 2.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Herzfeld Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Herzfeld Caribbean's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Herzfeld Caribbean Fund Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Sep 30Oct 8Oct 16Oct 24Nov 1Nov 11Nov 19Nov 27Dec 6Dec 152.252.302.352.402.452.502.55
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Herzfeld Caribbean Basin forecast
Backtest Herzfeld CaribbeanHerzfeld Caribbean Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Herzfeld Caribbean Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Herzfeld Caribbean's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Herzfeld Caribbean's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.36 and 3.48, respectively. We have considered Herzfeld Caribbean's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.47
2.42
Expected Value
3.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Herzfeld Caribbean fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Herzfeld Caribbean fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.5049
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0307
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors1.8716
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Herzfeld Caribbean historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Herzfeld Caribbean

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Herzfeld Caribbean Basin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.412.473.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.392.453.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Herzfeld Caribbean. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Herzfeld Caribbean's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Herzfeld Caribbean's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Herzfeld Caribbean Basin.

Other Forecasting Options for Herzfeld Caribbean

For every potential investor in Herzfeld, whether a beginner or expert, Herzfeld Caribbean's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Herzfeld Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Herzfeld. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Herzfeld Caribbean's price trends.

Herzfeld Caribbean Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Herzfeld Caribbean fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Herzfeld Caribbean could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Herzfeld Caribbean by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Herzfeld Caribbean's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Herzfeld Caribbean's current price.

Herzfeld Caribbean Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Herzfeld Caribbean fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Herzfeld Caribbean shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Herzfeld Caribbean fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Herzfeld Caribbean Basin entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Herzfeld Caribbean Risk Indicators

The analysis of Herzfeld Caribbean's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Herzfeld Caribbean's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting herzfeld fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Herzfeld Fund

Herzfeld Caribbean financial ratios help investors to determine whether Herzfeld Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Herzfeld with respect to the benefits of owning Herzfeld Caribbean security.
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