Castor Maritime Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| CTRM Stock | USD 2.42 0.06 2.42% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Castor Maritime on the next trading day is expected to be 2.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.16. Castor Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Castor Maritime's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Castor Maritime's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Castor Maritime fundamentals over time.
Castor |
Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 Castor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Castor Maritime's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Castor Maritime's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Castor Maritime stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Castor Maritime's open interest, investors have to compare it to Castor Maritime's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Castor Maritime is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Castor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Castor Maritime Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Castor Maritime on the next trading day is expected to be 2.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Castor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Castor Maritime's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Castor Maritime Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Castor Maritime | Castor Maritime Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Castor Maritime Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Castor Maritime's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Castor Maritime's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.08, respectively. We have considered Castor Maritime's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Castor Maritime stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Castor Maritime stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0941 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1155 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0391 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.1632 |
Predictive Modules for Castor Maritime
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Castor Maritime. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Castor Maritime
For every potential investor in Castor, whether a beginner or expert, Castor Maritime's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Castor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Castor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Castor Maritime's price trends.Castor Maritime Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Castor Maritime stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Castor Maritime could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Castor Maritime by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Castor Maritime Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Castor Maritime's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Castor Maritime's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Castor Maritime Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Castor Maritime stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Castor Maritime shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Castor Maritime stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Castor Maritime entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3835.62 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.40) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.06) |
Castor Maritime Risk Indicators
The analysis of Castor Maritime's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Castor Maritime's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting castor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Variance | 7.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Castor Maritime to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Castor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Castor Maritime guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Castor Maritime. If investors know Castor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Castor Maritime listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.187 | Earnings Share 3.72 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.37) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Castor Maritime is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Castor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Castor Maritime's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Castor Maritime's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Castor Maritime's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Castor Maritime's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Castor Maritime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Castor Maritime is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Castor Maritime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.