CITIC Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CTJHFDelisted Stock  USD 0.08  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of CITIC Resources Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23. CITIC Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CITIC Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for CITIC Resources is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CITIC Resources Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CITIC Resources Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CITIC Resources Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000034, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CITIC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CITIC Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CITIC Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest CITIC ResourcesCITIC Resources Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CITIC Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CITIC Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.8268
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0038
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0775
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2307
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CITIC Resources Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CITIC Resources. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CITIC Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CITIC Resources Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.080.080.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.060.060.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CITIC Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CITIC Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CITIC Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CITIC Resources Holdings.

View CITIC Resources Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

CITIC Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CITIC Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CITIC Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CITIC Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify CITIC Resources Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CITIC Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of CITIC Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CITIC Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting citic pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Other Consideration for investing in CITIC Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in CITIC Resources Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the CITIC Resources' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm