Crown Electrokinetics OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CRKNDelisted Stock  USD 3.11  0.09  2.81%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crown Electrokinetics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.35. Crown OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Crown Electrokinetics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Crown Electrokinetics Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Crown Electrokinetics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crown Electrokinetics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crown OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crown Electrokinetics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Crown Electrokinetics OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Crown ElectrokineticsCrown Electrokinetics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Crown Electrokinetics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Crown Electrokinetics' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crown Electrokinetics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 14.34, respectively. We have considered Crown Electrokinetics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.11
2.52
Expected Value
14.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crown Electrokinetics otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crown Electrokinetics otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.1921
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2845
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1025
SAESum of the absolute errors78.3543
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Crown Electrokinetics Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Crown Electrokinetics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Crown Electrokinetics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Electrokinetics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.1114.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.152.9514.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Crown Electrokinetics

For every potential investor in Crown, whether a beginner or expert, Crown Electrokinetics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crown OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crown. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crown Electrokinetics' price trends.

View Crown Electrokinetics Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Crown Electrokinetics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Crown Electrokinetics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Crown Electrokinetics' current price.

Crown Electrokinetics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crown Electrokinetics otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crown Electrokinetics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crown Electrokinetics otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crown Electrokinetics Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Crown Electrokinetics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Crown Electrokinetics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crown Electrokinetics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crown otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Crown Electrokinetics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Crown Electrokinetics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Crown Electrokinetics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Crown OTC Stock

  0.63CC ChemoursPairCorr

Moving against Crown OTC Stock

  0.75FSI Flexible SolutionsPairCorr
  0.59ECL Ecolab Inc Sell-off TrendPairCorr
  0.49BSLKW Bolt Projects Holdings, Symbol ChangePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Crown Electrokinetics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Crown Electrokinetics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Crown Electrokinetics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Crown Electrokinetics Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Crown Electrokinetics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Crown Electrokinetics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Crown Electrokinetics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Crown Electrokinetics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crown Electrokinetics to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Crown OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Crown Electrokinetics check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Crown Electrokinetics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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