Campbell Soup Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CPB Stock | USD 46.07 0.53 1.14% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Campbell Soup on the next trading day is expected to be 48.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.53. Campbell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Campbell Soup stock prices and determine the direction of Campbell Soup's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Campbell Soup's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Campbell |
Campbell Soup Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Campbell Soup's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1986-07-31 | Previous Quarter 107 M | Current Value 108 M | Quarterly Volatility 187.4 M |
Campbell Soup Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Campbell Soup on the next trading day is expected to be 48.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Campbell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Campbell Soup's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Campbell Soup Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Campbell Soup | Campbell Soup Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Campbell Soup Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Campbell Soup's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Campbell Soup's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.11 and 49.65, respectively. We have considered Campbell Soup's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Campbell Soup stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Campbell Soup stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.1346 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5247 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.5339 |
Predictive Modules for Campbell Soup
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Campbell Soup. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Campbell Soup
For every potential investor in Campbell, whether a beginner or expert, Campbell Soup's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Campbell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Campbell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Campbell Soup's price trends.Campbell Soup Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Campbell Soup stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Campbell Soup could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Campbell Soup by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Campbell Soup Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Campbell Soup's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Campbell Soup's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Campbell Soup Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Campbell Soup stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Campbell Soup shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Campbell Soup stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Campbell Soup entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 38343.05 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.56) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 46.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 46.34 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.67) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.53) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 27.44 |
Campbell Soup Risk Indicators
The analysis of Campbell Soup's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Campbell Soup's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting campbell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9747 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Variance | 1.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Campbell Soup offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Campbell Soup's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Campbell Soup Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Campbell Soup Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Campbell Soup to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Campbell Stock refer to our How to Trade Campbell Stock guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Campbell Soup. If investors know Campbell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Campbell Soup listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 1.48 | Earnings Share 1.89 | Revenue Per Share 32.336 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.109 |
The market value of Campbell Soup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Campbell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Campbell Soup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Campbell Soup's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Campbell Soup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Campbell Soup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Campbell Soup's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Campbell Soup is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Campbell Soup's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.