CL Educate Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CLEDUCATE   118.74  2.89  2.38%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CL Educate Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 118.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.69. CLEDUCATE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CL Educate stock prices and determine the direction of CL Educate Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CL Educate's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, CL Educate's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 389.7 M, whereas Total Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 921.6 M.
A two period moving average forecast for CL Educate is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

CL Educate Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CL Educate Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 118.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.37, mean absolute percentage error of 10.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 139.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CLEDUCATE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CL Educate's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CL Educate Stock Forecast Pattern

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CL Educate Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CL Educate's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CL Educate's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 116.19 and 121.29, respectively. We have considered CL Educate's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
118.74
116.19
Downside
118.74
Expected Value
121.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CL Educate stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CL Educate stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7495
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0932
MADMean absolute deviation2.3676
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0204
SAESum of the absolute errors139.69
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of CL Educate Limited price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CL Educate. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for CL Educate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CL Educate Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CL Educate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
116.12118.67121.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
114.45117.00119.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
104.43116.37128.32
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CL Educate

For every potential investor in CLEDUCATE, whether a beginner or expert, CL Educate's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CLEDUCATE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CLEDUCATE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CL Educate's price trends.

CL Educate Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CL Educate stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CL Educate could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CL Educate by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CL Educate Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CL Educate's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CL Educate's current price.

CL Educate Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CL Educate stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CL Educate shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CL Educate stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CL Educate Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CL Educate Risk Indicators

The analysis of CL Educate's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CL Educate's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cleducate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in CLEDUCATE Stock

CL Educate financial ratios help investors to determine whether CLEDUCATE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CLEDUCATE with respect to the benefits of owning CL Educate security.