Camber Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CEI Stock  USD 0.02  0.0006  3.51%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Camber Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Camber Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Camber Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Camber Energy's Payables Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Camber Energy's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 6.63, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.25. . The Camber Energy's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 74.9 M.

Camber Energy Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Camber Energy's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-03-31
Previous Quarter
407.7 K
Current Value
608 K
Quarterly Volatility
1.9 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Camber Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Camber Energy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Camber Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Camber Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000065, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Camber Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Camber Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Camber Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

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Camber Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Camber Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Camber Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 4.70, respectively. We have considered Camber Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
4.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Camber Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Camber Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.7091
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation6.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0298
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0367
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Camber Energy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Camber Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Camber Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camber Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Camber Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.024.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.265.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Camber Energy

For every potential investor in Camber, whether a beginner or expert, Camber Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Camber Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Camber. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Camber Energy's price trends.

Camber Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Camber Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Camber Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Camber Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Camber Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Camber Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Camber Energy's current price.

Camber Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Camber Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Camber Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Camber Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Camber Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Camber Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Camber Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Camber Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting camber stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Camber Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Camber Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Camber Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Camber Energy Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Camber Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Camber Stock please use our How to Invest in Camber Energy guide.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Camber Energy. If investors know Camber will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Camber Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Earnings Share
(0.62)
Revenue Per Share
0.348
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.145
Return On Assets
(0.06)
The market value of Camber Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Camber that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Camber Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Camber Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Camber Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Camber Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Camber Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Camber Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Camber Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.