Coca-Cola Bottlers Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

CCOJY Stock  USD 7.86  0.50  5.98%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coca Cola Bottlers Japan on the next trading day is expected to be 7.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.79. Coca-Cola Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Coca-Cola Bottlers works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Coca-Cola Bottlers Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coca Cola Bottlers Japan on the next trading day is expected to be 7.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.79.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coca-Cola Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coca-Cola Bottlers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coca-Cola Bottlers Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Coca-Cola Bottlers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coca-Cola Bottlers' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coca-Cola Bottlers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.27 and 12.45, respectively. We have considered Coca-Cola Bottlers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.86
7.86
Expected Value
12.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coca-Cola Bottlers pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coca-Cola Bottlers pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0144
MADMean absolute deviation0.1829
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0254
SAESum of the absolute errors10.79
When Coca Cola Bottlers Japan prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Coca Cola Bottlers Japan trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Coca-Cola Bottlers observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Coca-Cola Bottlers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola Bottlers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.277.8612.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.467.0511.64
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Coca-Cola Bottlers

For every potential investor in Coca-Cola, whether a beginner or expert, Coca-Cola Bottlers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coca-Cola Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coca-Cola. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coca-Cola Bottlers' price trends.

Coca-Cola Bottlers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coca-Cola Bottlers pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coca-Cola Bottlers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coca-Cola Bottlers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coca Cola Bottlers Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Coca-Cola Bottlers' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Coca-Cola Bottlers' current price.

Coca-Cola Bottlers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coca-Cola Bottlers pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coca-Cola Bottlers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coca-Cola Bottlers pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Coca Cola Bottlers Japan entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coca-Cola Bottlers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coca-Cola Bottlers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coca-Cola Bottlers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coca-cola pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Coca-Cola Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Coca-Cola Bottlers' price analysis, check to measure Coca-Cola Bottlers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coca-Cola Bottlers is operating at the current time. Most of Coca-Cola Bottlers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coca-Cola Bottlers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coca-Cola Bottlers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coca-Cola Bottlers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.