INTERNATIONAL METALS Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

C2Y0 Stock   0.01  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of INTERNATIONAL METALS MIN on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.21. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast INTERNATIONAL METALS's stock prices and determine the direction of INTERNATIONAL METALS MIN's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of INTERNATIONAL METALS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
A two period moving average forecast for INTERNATIONAL METALS is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

INTERNATIONAL METALS Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of INTERNATIONAL METALS MIN on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000074, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict INTERNATIONAL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that INTERNATIONAL METALS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

INTERNATIONAL METALS Stock Forecast Pattern

INTERNATIONAL METALS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting INTERNATIONAL METALS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. INTERNATIONAL METALS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 238.32, respectively. We have considered INTERNATIONAL METALS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
238.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of INTERNATIONAL METALS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent INTERNATIONAL METALS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.9226
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0035
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.9657
SAESum of the absolute errors0.209
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of INTERNATIONAL METALS MIN price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of INTERNATIONAL METALS. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for INTERNATIONAL METALS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INTERNATIONAL METALS MIN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for INTERNATIONAL METALS

For every potential investor in INTERNATIONAL, whether a beginner or expert, INTERNATIONAL METALS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. INTERNATIONAL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in INTERNATIONAL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying INTERNATIONAL METALS's price trends.

INTERNATIONAL METALS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with INTERNATIONAL METALS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of INTERNATIONAL METALS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing INTERNATIONAL METALS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

INTERNATIONAL METALS MIN Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of INTERNATIONAL METALS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of INTERNATIONAL METALS's current price.

INTERNATIONAL METALS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how INTERNATIONAL METALS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading INTERNATIONAL METALS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying INTERNATIONAL METALS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify INTERNATIONAL METALS MIN entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

INTERNATIONAL METALS Risk Indicators

The analysis of INTERNATIONAL METALS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in INTERNATIONAL METALS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting international stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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