Copart Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

C1PR34 Stock  BRL 187.50  21.90  13.22%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Copart Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 152.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.56. Copart Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Copart stock prices and determine the direction of Copart Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Copart's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Copart is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Copart Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Copart Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 187.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.75, mean absolute percentage error of 17.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Copart Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Copart's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Copart Stock Forecast Pattern

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Copart Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Copart's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Copart's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 185.33 and 189.67, respectively. We have considered Copart's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
187.50
185.33
Downside
187.50
Expected Value
189.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Copart stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Copart stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2757
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0581
MADMean absolute deviation1.7542
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0107
SAESum of the absolute errors103.5
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Copart Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Copart. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Copart

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Copart Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
185.33187.50189.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
168.75208.10210.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
138.33163.23188.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Copart. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Copart's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Copart's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Copart Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for Copart

For every potential investor in Copart, whether a beginner or expert, Copart's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Copart Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Copart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Copart's price trends.

Copart Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Copart stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Copart could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Copart by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Copart Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Copart's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Copart's current price.

Copart Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Copart stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Copart shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Copart stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Copart Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Copart Risk Indicators

The analysis of Copart's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Copart's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting copart stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Copart Stock

When determining whether Copart Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Copart Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Copart Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Copart Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Copart to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Copart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Copart is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Copart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.