Bukit Jalil Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

BUJAR Stock   0.10  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bukit Jalil Global on the next trading day is expected to be 0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.90. Bukit Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Bukit Jalil's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Bukit Jalil's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Bukit Jalil fundamentals over time.
  
Bukit Jalil simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Bukit Jalil Global are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Bukit Jalil Global prices get older.

Bukit Jalil Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bukit Jalil Global on the next trading day is expected to be 0.1 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bukit Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bukit Jalil's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bukit Jalil Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bukit Jalil Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bukit Jalil's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bukit Jalil's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 17.07, respectively. We have considered Bukit Jalil's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.10
0.1
Expected Value
17.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bukit Jalil stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bukit Jalil stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.8442
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0025
MADMean absolute deviation0.0149
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1007
SAESum of the absolute errors0.8967
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Bukit Jalil Global forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Bukit Jalil observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Bukit Jalil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bukit Jalil Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1017.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.117.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bukit Jalil. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bukit Jalil's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bukit Jalil's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bukit Jalil Global.

Other Forecasting Options for Bukit Jalil

For every potential investor in Bukit, whether a beginner or expert, Bukit Jalil's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bukit Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bukit. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bukit Jalil's price trends.

Bukit Jalil Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bukit Jalil stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bukit Jalil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bukit Jalil by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bukit Jalil Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bukit Jalil's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bukit Jalil's current price.

Bukit Jalil Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bukit Jalil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bukit Jalil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bukit Jalil stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bukit Jalil Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bukit Jalil Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bukit Jalil's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bukit Jalil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bukit stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Bukit Jalil

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bukit Jalil position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bukit Jalil will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Bukit Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bukit Jalil could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bukit Jalil when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bukit Jalil - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bukit Jalil Global to buy it.
The correlation of Bukit Jalil is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bukit Jalil moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bukit Jalil Global moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bukit Jalil can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Bukit Stock Analysis

When running Bukit Jalil's price analysis, check to measure Bukit Jalil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bukit Jalil is operating at the current time. Most of Bukit Jalil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bukit Jalil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bukit Jalil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bukit Jalil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.