BrainsWay Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BRSYF Stock  USD 8.53  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BrainsWay on the next trading day is expected to be 7.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.66. BrainsWay Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BrainsWay's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for BrainsWay is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of BrainsWay value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

BrainsWay Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BrainsWay on the next trading day is expected to be 7.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BrainsWay Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BrainsWay's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BrainsWay Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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BrainsWay Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BrainsWay's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BrainsWay's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.09 and 29.35, respectively. We have considered BrainsWay's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.53
7.83
Expected Value
29.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BrainsWay pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BrainsWay pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5962
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.519
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1321
SAESum of the absolute errors31.6607
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of BrainsWay. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict BrainsWay. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for BrainsWay

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BrainsWay. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BrainsWay's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.438.5329.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.367.1828.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BrainsWay

For every potential investor in BrainsWay, whether a beginner or expert, BrainsWay's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BrainsWay Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BrainsWay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BrainsWay's price trends.

BrainsWay Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BrainsWay pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BrainsWay could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BrainsWay by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BrainsWay Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BrainsWay's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BrainsWay's current price.

BrainsWay Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BrainsWay pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BrainsWay shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BrainsWay pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify BrainsWay entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BrainsWay Risk Indicators

The analysis of BrainsWay's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BrainsWay's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brainsway pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in BrainsWay Pink Sheet

When determining whether BrainsWay offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BrainsWay's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Brainsway Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Brainsway Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BrainsWay to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in BrainsWay Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in BrainsWay guide.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BrainsWay's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BrainsWay is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BrainsWay's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.