Banco Alfa Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

BRIV3 Stock  BRL 12.86  0.00  0.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Alfa de on the next trading day is expected to be 12.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Banco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Banco Alfa de is based on a synthetically constructed Banco Alfadaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Banco Alfa 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Banco Alfa de on the next trading day is expected to be 12.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banco Alfa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Banco Alfa Stock Forecast Pattern

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Banco Alfa Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Banco Alfa's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Banco Alfa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.86 and 12.86, respectively. We have considered Banco Alfa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.86
12.86
Expected Value
12.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banco Alfa stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banco Alfa stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria14.8108
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Banco Alfa de 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Banco Alfa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Alfa de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8612.8612.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.8612.8612.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.8612.8612.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco Alfa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco Alfa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco Alfa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Banco Alfa de.

Other Forecasting Options for Banco Alfa

For every potential investor in Banco, whether a beginner or expert, Banco Alfa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Banco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Banco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Banco Alfa's price trends.

Banco Alfa Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Banco Alfa stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Banco Alfa could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Banco Alfa by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Banco Alfa de Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Banco Alfa's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Banco Alfa's current price.

Banco Alfa Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Banco Alfa stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Banco Alfa shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Banco Alfa stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Banco Alfa de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Banco Stock Analysis

When running Banco Alfa's price analysis, check to measure Banco Alfa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Alfa is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Alfa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Alfa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Alfa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Alfa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.