Bodal Chemicals Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

BODALCHEM   66.28  0.98  1.46%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bodal Chemicals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 67.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.00. Bodal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bodal Chemicals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Bodal Chemicals' Total Stockholder Equity is increasing as compared to previous years. The Bodal Chemicals' current Property Plant And Equipment Net is estimated to increase to about 16.5 B, while Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease to under 217 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Bodal Chemicals price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Bodal Chemicals Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of January 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bodal Chemicals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 67.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.85, mean absolute percentage error of 5.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bodal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bodal Chemicals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bodal Chemicals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bodal Chemicals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bodal Chemicals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bodal Chemicals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.26 and 68.84, respectively. We have considered Bodal Chemicals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
66.28
67.05
Expected Value
68.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bodal Chemicals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bodal Chemicals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.7578
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.8525
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.025
SAESum of the absolute errors113.0049
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Bodal Chemicals Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Bodal Chemicals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bodal Chemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.4966.2868.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.5850.3772.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
65.1568.7672.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.250.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bodal Chemicals

For every potential investor in Bodal, whether a beginner or expert, Bodal Chemicals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bodal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bodal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bodal Chemicals' price trends.

Bodal Chemicals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bodal Chemicals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bodal Chemicals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bodal Chemicals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bodal Chemicals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bodal Chemicals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bodal Chemicals' current price.

Bodal Chemicals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bodal Chemicals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bodal Chemicals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bodal Chemicals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bodal Chemicals Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bodal Chemicals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bodal Chemicals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bodal Chemicals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bodal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Bodal Stock

Bodal Chemicals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bodal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bodal with respect to the benefits of owning Bodal Chemicals security.