Bathurst Metals Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| BMVVF Stock | USD 0.04 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bathurst Metals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02. Bathurst Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bathurst Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Bathurst |
Bathurst Metals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bathurst Metals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000046, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bathurst Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bathurst Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bathurst Metals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Bathurst Metals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bathurst Metals' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bathurst Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 1.83, respectively. We have considered Bathurst Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bathurst Metals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bathurst Metals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.5238 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0081 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0205 |
Predictive Modules for Bathurst Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bathurst Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bathurst Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Bathurst Metals
For every potential investor in Bathurst, whether a beginner or expert, Bathurst Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bathurst Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bathurst. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bathurst Metals' price trends.View Bathurst Metals Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bathurst Metals Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bathurst Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bathurst Metals' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bathurst Metals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bathurst Metals pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bathurst Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bathurst Metals pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bathurst Metals Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0436 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0436 |
Bathurst Metals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bathurst Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bathurst Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bathurst pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4179 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Variance | 2.98 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Bathurst Pink Sheet
Bathurst Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bathurst Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bathurst with respect to the benefits of owning Bathurst Metals security.