Amazonas Florestal Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Amazonas Florestal on the next trading day is expected to be -0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000015 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0009. Amazonas Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Amazonas Florestal is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Amazonas Florestal value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Amazonas Florestal Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Amazonas Florestal on the next trading day is expected to be -0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000015, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0009.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amazonas Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amazonas Florestal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amazonas Florestal Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Amazonas Florestal Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amazonas Florestal's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amazonas Florestal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 178.89, respectively. We have considered Amazonas Florestal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
-0
Expected Value
178.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amazonas Florestal pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amazonas Florestal pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.8479
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors9.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Amazonas Florestal. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Amazonas Florestal. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Amazonas Florestal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amazonas Florestal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0050.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0050.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.0000650.0000650.000065
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amazonas Florestal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amazonas Florestal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amazonas Florestal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amazonas Florestal.

Other Forecasting Options for Amazonas Florestal

For every potential investor in Amazonas, whether a beginner or expert, Amazonas Florestal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amazonas Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amazonas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amazonas Florestal's price trends.

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Amazonas Florestal Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amazonas Florestal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amazonas Florestal's current price.

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Other Information on Investing in Amazonas Pink Sheet

Amazonas Florestal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amazonas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amazonas with respect to the benefits of owning Amazonas Florestal security.