Auxico Resources Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

AUXIF Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Auxico Resources Canada on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19. Auxico Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Auxico Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Auxico Resources Canada is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Auxico Resources 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Auxico Resources Canada on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000054, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Auxico Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Auxico Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Auxico Resources Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Auxico Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Auxico Resources' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Auxico Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00006 and 76.14, respectively. We have considered Auxico Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.00006
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
76.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Auxico Resources pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Auxico Resources pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.9258
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0033
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.5201
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1895
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Auxico Resources. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Auxico Resources Canada and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Auxico Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auxico Resources Canada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Auxico Resources

For every potential investor in Auxico, whether a beginner or expert, Auxico Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Auxico Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Auxico. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Auxico Resources' price trends.

Auxico Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Auxico Resources pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Auxico Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Auxico Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Auxico Resources Canada Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Auxico Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Auxico Resources' current price.

Auxico Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Auxico Resources pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Auxico Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Auxico Resources pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Auxico Resources Canada entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Auxico Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Auxico Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Auxico Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting auxico pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Auxico Pink Sheet

Auxico Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Auxico Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Auxico with respect to the benefits of owning Auxico Resources security.