After You Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

AU Stock   10.90  0.10  0.91%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of After You Public on the next trading day is expected to be 10.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.95. After Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for After You - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When After You prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in After You price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of After You Public.

After You Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of After You Public on the next trading day is expected to be 10.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict After Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that After You's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

After You Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest After YouAfter You Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

After You Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting After You's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. After You's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.37 and 12.44, respectively. We have considered After You's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.90
10.91
Expected Value
12.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of After You stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent After You stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0375
MADMean absolute deviation0.1179
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0115
SAESum of the absolute errors6.9537
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past After You observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older After You Public observations.

Predictive Modules for After You

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as After You Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3610.9012.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.9710.5112.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.7010.8611.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as After You. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against After You's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, After You's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in After You Public.

Other Forecasting Options for After You

For every potential investor in After, whether a beginner or expert, After You's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. After Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in After. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying After You's price trends.

After You Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with After You stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of After You could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing After You by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

After You Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of After You's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of After You's current price.

After You Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how After You stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading After You shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying After You stock market strength indicators, traders can identify After You Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

After You Risk Indicators

The analysis of After You's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in After You's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting after stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in After Stock

After You financial ratios help investors to determine whether After Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in After with respect to the benefits of owning After You security.