Ameritrust Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

ATCC Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ameritrust Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Ameritrust Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ameritrust Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Ameritrust Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ameritrust Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Ameritrust Corp works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Ameritrust Corp Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ameritrust Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ameritrust Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ameritrust Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ameritrust Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Ameritrust Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ameritrust Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ameritrust Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 0.0002, respectively. We have considered Ameritrust Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.0002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
0.0002
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ameritrust Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ameritrust Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Ameritrust Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Ameritrust Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Ameritrust Corp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Ameritrust Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ameritrust Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ameritrust Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ameritrust Corp

For every potential investor in Ameritrust, whether a beginner or expert, Ameritrust Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ameritrust Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ameritrust. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ameritrust Corp's price trends.

Ameritrust Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ameritrust Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ameritrust Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ameritrust Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ameritrust Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ameritrust Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ameritrust Corp's current price.

Ameritrust Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ameritrust Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ameritrust Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ameritrust Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ameritrust Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Ameritrust Pink Sheet

Ameritrust Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ameritrust Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ameritrust with respect to the benefits of owning Ameritrust Corp security.