Arogo Capital Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

AOGOUDelisted Stock  USD 8.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Arogo Capital Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 7.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.51. Arogo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Arogo Capital is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Arogo Capital Acquisition value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Arogo Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Arogo Capital Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 7.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.51.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arogo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arogo Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Arogo Capital Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arogo Capital pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arogo Capital pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.3844
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1559
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0149
SAESum of the absolute errors9.5129
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Arogo Capital Acquisition. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Arogo Capital. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Arogo Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arogo Capital Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.388.5015.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.637.7514.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.729.8510.98
Details

Arogo Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Arogo Capital pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Arogo Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arogo Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Arogo Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arogo Capital pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arogo Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Arogo Capital pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Arogo Capital Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Arogo Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Arogo Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arogo Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting arogo pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Other Consideration for investing in Arogo Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Arogo Capital Acquisition check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Arogo Capital's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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