Altech Batteries Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ALTHF Stock | 0.03 0.01 20.50% |
Altech |
Altech Batteries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Altech Batteries Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000027, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Altech Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Altech Batteries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Altech Batteries Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
Altech Batteries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Altech Batteries' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Altech Batteries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 13.07, respectively. We have considered Altech Batteries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Altech Batteries pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Altech Batteries pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.5855 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.003 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0863 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1812 |
Predictive Modules for Altech Batteries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altech Batteries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altech Batteries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altech Batteries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altech Batteries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Altech Batteries.Other Forecasting Options for Altech Batteries
For every potential investor in Altech, whether a beginner or expert, Altech Batteries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Altech Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Altech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Altech Batteries' price trends.Altech Batteries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Altech Batteries pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Altech Batteries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Altech Batteries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Altech Batteries Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Altech Batteries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Altech Batteries' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Altech Batteries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Altech Batteries pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Altech Batteries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Altech Batteries pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Altech Batteries Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.8 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0318 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0318 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Altech Batteries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Altech Batteries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altech Batteries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting altech pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.94 | |||
| Variance | 167.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 450.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 51.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (27.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.