Centurion Acquisition Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ALF Stock | USD 0.01 10.09 99.85% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Centurion Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be -0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.23. Centurion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Centurion Acquisition's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Centurion |
Centurion Acquisition Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Centurion Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be -0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 1.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Centurion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Centurion Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Centurion Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
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Centurion Acquisition Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Centurion Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Centurion Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 12.32, respectively. We have considered Centurion Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Centurion Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Centurion Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.1677 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6103 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 7.1839 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.2305 |
Predictive Modules for Centurion Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centurion Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Centurion Acquisition
For every potential investor in Centurion, whether a beginner or expert, Centurion Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Centurion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Centurion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Centurion Acquisition's price trends.Centurion Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Centurion Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Centurion Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Centurion Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Centurion Acquisition Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Centurion Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Centurion Acquisition's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Centurion Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Centurion Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Centurion Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Centurion Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Centurion Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Centurion Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Centurion Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Centurion Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting centurion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1023 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1679 | |||
| Variance | 0.0282 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0375 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.01) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Centurion Acquisition is a strong investment it is important to analyze Centurion Acquisition's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Centurion Acquisition's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Centurion Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centurion Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Centurion Acquisition. If investors know Centurion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Centurion Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Centurion Acquisition is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Centurion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Centurion Acquisition's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Centurion Acquisition's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Centurion Acquisition's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Centurion Acquisition's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Centurion Acquisition's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Centurion Acquisition is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Centurion Acquisition's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.