Apollo Tactical Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

AIFDelisted Fund  USD 14.82  0.04  0.27%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Apollo Tactical Income on the next trading day is expected to be 14.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.10. Apollo Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Apollo Tactical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Apollo Tactical is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Apollo Tactical Income value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Apollo Tactical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Apollo Tactical Income on the next trading day is expected to be 14.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apollo Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apollo Tactical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Apollo Tactical Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Apollo TacticalApollo Tactical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apollo Tactical fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apollo Tactical fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.5182
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0836
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0058
SAESum of the absolute errors5.098
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Apollo Tactical Income. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Apollo Tactical. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Apollo Tactical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Tactical Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8214.8214.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5813.5816.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.0014.5015.00
Details

View Apollo Tactical Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Apollo Tactical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apollo Tactical fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apollo Tactical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apollo Tactical fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Apollo Tactical Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Apollo Tactical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Apollo Tactical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apollo Tactical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apollo fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Other Consideration for investing in Apollo Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Apollo Tactical Income check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Apollo Tactical's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals