C3 Ai Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

AI Stock  USD 42.94  3.48  8.82%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of C3 Ai Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 39.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.84. C3 Ai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of C3 Ai's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, C3 Ai's Payables Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The C3 Ai's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 3.09, while Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.33. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 115.1 M. The C3 Ai's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (229.9 M).

C3 Ai Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the C3 Ai's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
167.1 M
Current Value
190.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
80.7 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for C3 Ai is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of C3 Ai Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

C3 Ai Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of C3 Ai Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 39.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22, mean absolute percentage error of 2.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict C3 Ai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that C3 Ai's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

C3 Ai Stock Forecast Pattern

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C3 Ai Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting C3 Ai's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. C3 Ai's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.21 and 44.19, respectively. We have considered C3 Ai's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.94
39.70
Expected Value
44.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of C3 Ai stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent C3 Ai stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.8747
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2233
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0405
SAESum of the absolute errors75.843
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of C3 Ai Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict C3 Ai. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for C3 Ai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as C3 Ai Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.6547.8852.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.7035.1947.23
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.5727.0029.97
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.28-0.25-0.2
Details

Other Forecasting Options for C3 Ai

For every potential investor in C3 Ai, whether a beginner or expert, C3 Ai's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. C3 Ai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in C3 Ai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying C3 Ai's price trends.

C3 Ai Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with C3 Ai stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of C3 Ai could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing C3 Ai by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

C3 Ai Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of C3 Ai's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of C3 Ai's current price.

C3 Ai Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how C3 Ai stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading C3 Ai shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying C3 Ai stock market strength indicators, traders can identify C3 Ai Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

C3 Ai Risk Indicators

The analysis of C3 Ai's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in C3 Ai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting c3 ai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of C3 Ai. If investors know C3 Ai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about C3 Ai listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.21)
Revenue Per Share
2.674
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.205
Return On Assets
(0.18)
Return On Equity
(0.31)
The market value of C3 Ai Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of C3 Ai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of C3 Ai's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is C3 Ai's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because C3 Ai's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect C3 Ai's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between C3 Ai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if C3 Ai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, C3 Ai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.