Absolute Health Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Absolute Health and on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000169 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001. Absolute Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Absolute Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Absolute Health - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Absolute Health prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Absolute Health price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Absolute Health.

Absolute Health Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Absolute Health and on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000169, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0001.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Absolute Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Absolute Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Absolute Health Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Absolute Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Absolute Health's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Absolute Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 12.50, respectively. We have considered Absolute Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.00
Expected Value
12.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Absolute Health pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Absolute Health pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0E-4
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Absolute Health observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Absolute Health and observations.

Predictive Modules for Absolute Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Absolute Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0012.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0012.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.0000710.0000710.000071
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Absolute Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Absolute Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Absolute Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Absolute Health.

Other Forecasting Options for Absolute Health

For every potential investor in Absolute, whether a beginner or expert, Absolute Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Absolute Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Absolute. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Absolute Health's price trends.

Absolute Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Absolute Health pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Absolute Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Absolute Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Absolute Health Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Absolute Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Absolute Health's current price.

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Other Information on Investing in Absolute Pink Sheet

Absolute Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Absolute Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Absolute with respect to the benefits of owning Absolute Health security.