Zhejiang Orient Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

688298 Stock   32.39  0.27  0.83%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Zhejiang Orient Gene on the next trading day is expected to be 31.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.30. Zhejiang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Zhejiang Orient stock prices and determine the direction of Zhejiang Orient Gene's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Zhejiang Orient's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Zhejiang Orient's Total Stockholder Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Liabilities is expected to grow to about 28.5 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 4.6 B.
Zhejiang Orient polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Zhejiang Orient Gene as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Zhejiang Orient Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Zhejiang Orient Gene on the next trading day is expected to be 31.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27, mean absolute percentage error of 3.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zhejiang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zhejiang Orient's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zhejiang Orient Stock Forecast Pattern

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Zhejiang Orient Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zhejiang Orient's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zhejiang Orient's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.97 and 35.17, respectively. We have considered Zhejiang Orient's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.39
31.07
Expected Value
35.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zhejiang Orient stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zhejiang Orient stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3249
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2672
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0396
SAESum of the absolute errors77.2969
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Zhejiang Orient historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Zhejiang Orient

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhejiang Orient Gene. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.2932.3936.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.2127.3135.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.1333.8636.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhejiang Orient. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhejiang Orient's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhejiang Orient's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhejiang Orient Gene.

Other Forecasting Options for Zhejiang Orient

For every potential investor in Zhejiang, whether a beginner or expert, Zhejiang Orient's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zhejiang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zhejiang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zhejiang Orient's price trends.

Zhejiang Orient Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zhejiang Orient stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zhejiang Orient could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zhejiang Orient by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zhejiang Orient Gene Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zhejiang Orient's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zhejiang Orient's current price.

Zhejiang Orient Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zhejiang Orient stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zhejiang Orient shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zhejiang Orient stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zhejiang Orient Gene entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zhejiang Orient Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zhejiang Orient's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zhejiang Orient's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zhejiang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Zhejiang Stock

Zhejiang Orient financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhejiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhejiang with respect to the benefits of owning Zhejiang Orient security.