Hubei Huaqiang Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

688151 Stock   18.56  1.22  6.17%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Hubei Huaqiang High Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 18.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.44. Hubei Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Hubei Huaqiang stock prices and determine the direction of Hubei Huaqiang High Tech's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hubei Huaqiang's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Hubei Huaqiang's Total Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 226.2 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 4.4 B.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Hubei Huaqiang price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Hubei Huaqiang Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Hubei Huaqiang High Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 18.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93, mean absolute percentage error of 1.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hubei Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hubei Huaqiang's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hubei Huaqiang Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hubei Huaqiang Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hubei Huaqiang's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hubei Huaqiang's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.51 and 22.42, respectively. We have considered Hubei Huaqiang's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.56
18.96
Expected Value
22.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hubei Huaqiang stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hubei Huaqiang stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.3624
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9253
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0575
SAESum of the absolute errors56.4418
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Hubei Huaqiang High Tech historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Hubei Huaqiang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hubei Huaqiang High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.0818.5422.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4914.9520.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.0818.2619.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hubei Huaqiang. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hubei Huaqiang's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hubei Huaqiang's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hubei Huaqiang High.

Other Forecasting Options for Hubei Huaqiang

For every potential investor in Hubei, whether a beginner or expert, Hubei Huaqiang's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hubei Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hubei. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hubei Huaqiang's price trends.

Hubei Huaqiang Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hubei Huaqiang stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hubei Huaqiang could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hubei Huaqiang by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hubei Huaqiang High Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hubei Huaqiang's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hubei Huaqiang's current price.

Hubei Huaqiang Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hubei Huaqiang stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hubei Huaqiang shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hubei Huaqiang stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hubei Huaqiang High Tech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hubei Huaqiang Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hubei Huaqiang's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hubei Huaqiang's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hubei stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Hubei Stock

Hubei Huaqiang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hubei Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hubei with respect to the benefits of owning Hubei Huaqiang security.