Genesyslogic Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

6104 Stock  TWD 177.00  4.50  2.61%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Genesyslogic on the next trading day is expected to be 174.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 360.25. Genesyslogic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Genesyslogic is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Genesyslogic 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Genesyslogic on the next trading day is expected to be 174.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.21, mean absolute percentage error of 62.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 360.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genesyslogic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genesyslogic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Genesyslogic Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GenesyslogicGenesyslogic Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Genesyslogic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Genesyslogic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Genesyslogic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 170.44 and 177.56, respectively. We have considered Genesyslogic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
177.00
170.44
Downside
174.00
Expected Value
177.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genesyslogic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genesyslogic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7282
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0043
MADMean absolute deviation6.2112
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.04
SAESum of the absolute errors360.25
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Genesyslogic. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Genesyslogic and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Genesyslogic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genesyslogic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
173.46177.00180.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
162.21165.75194.70
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Genesyslogic

For every potential investor in Genesyslogic, whether a beginner or expert, Genesyslogic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genesyslogic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genesyslogic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genesyslogic's price trends.

Genesyslogic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genesyslogic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genesyslogic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genesyslogic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Genesyslogic Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Genesyslogic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Genesyslogic's current price.

Genesyslogic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genesyslogic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genesyslogic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genesyslogic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genesyslogic entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Genesyslogic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Genesyslogic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genesyslogic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genesyslogic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Genesyslogic

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Genesyslogic position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Genesyslogic will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Genesyslogic Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Genesyslogic could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Genesyslogic when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Genesyslogic - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Genesyslogic to buy it.
The correlation of Genesyslogic is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Genesyslogic moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Genesyslogic moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Genesyslogic can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Genesyslogic Stock Analysis

When running Genesyslogic's price analysis, check to measure Genesyslogic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genesyslogic is operating at the current time. Most of Genesyslogic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genesyslogic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genesyslogic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genesyslogic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.