Guangxi Guiguan Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 600236 Stock | 6.94 0.07 1.02% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guangxi Guiguan Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 6.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.24. Guangxi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Guangxi Guiguan stock prices and determine the direction of Guangxi Guiguan Electric's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Guangxi Guiguan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Guangxi |
Guangxi Guiguan Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guangxi Guiguan Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 6.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guangxi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guangxi Guiguan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Guangxi Guiguan Stock Forecast Pattern
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Guangxi Guiguan Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Guangxi Guiguan's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guangxi Guiguan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.95 and 8.93, respectively. We have considered Guangxi Guiguan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guangxi Guiguan stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guangxi Guiguan stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9902 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0102 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0859 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0133 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.24 |
Predictive Modules for Guangxi Guiguan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guangxi Guiguan Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Guangxi Guiguan
For every potential investor in Guangxi, whether a beginner or expert, Guangxi Guiguan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guangxi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guangxi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guangxi Guiguan's price trends.Guangxi Guiguan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guangxi Guiguan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guangxi Guiguan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guangxi Guiguan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Guangxi Guiguan Electric Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guangxi Guiguan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guangxi Guiguan's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Guangxi Guiguan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guangxi Guiguan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guangxi Guiguan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guangxi Guiguan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Guangxi Guiguan Electric entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Guangxi Guiguan Risk Indicators
The analysis of Guangxi Guiguan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guangxi Guiguan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guangxi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Guangxi Stock
Guangxi Guiguan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangxi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangxi with respect to the benefits of owning Guangxi Guiguan security.