CS BEARING Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for CS BEARING is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of CS BEARING CoLtd value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CS BEARING Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of CS BEARING CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 4,126 with a mean absolute deviation of 228.58, mean absolute percentage error of 79,545, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13,944.

CS BEARING Stock Forecast Pattern

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CS BEARING Price Prediction

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CS BEARING Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CS BEARING stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CS BEARING stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of CS BEARING CoLtd. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CS BEARING. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CS BEARING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CS BEARING CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 4,036 4,040 4,044 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 3,932 3,936 4,444 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CS BEARING. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CS BEARING's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CS BEARING's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CS BEARING CoLtd.

Other Forecasting Options for CS BEARING

For every potential investor in 297090, whether a beginner or expert, CS BEARING's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 297090 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 297090. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CS BEARING's price trends.

CS BEARING Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

CS BEARING CoLtd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CS BEARING's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CS BEARING's current price.

CS BEARING Market Strength Events

CS BEARING Risk Indicators

Pair Trading with CS BEARING

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CS BEARING position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CS BEARING will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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