Da Cin Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

2535 Stock  TWD 54.30  0.10  0.18%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Da Cin Construction Co on the next trading day is expected to be 51.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.27. 2535 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Da Cin price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Da Cin Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Da Cin Construction Co on the next trading day is expected to be 51.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 2.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 2535 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Da Cin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Da Cin Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Da CinDa Cin Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Da Cin Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Da Cin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Da Cin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.44 and 52.63, respectively. We have considered Da Cin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
54.30
51.54
Expected Value
52.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Da Cin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Da Cin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.6908
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1333
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0222
SAESum of the absolute errors70.2668
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Da Cin Construction Co historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Da Cin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Da Cin Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.2154.3055.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.8762.5163.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
46.8350.7254.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Da Cin

For every potential investor in 2535, whether a beginner or expert, Da Cin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 2535 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 2535. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Da Cin's price trends.

Da Cin Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Da Cin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Da Cin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Da Cin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Da Cin Construction Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Da Cin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Da Cin's current price.

Da Cin Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Da Cin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Da Cin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Da Cin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Da Cin Construction Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Da Cin Risk Indicators

The analysis of Da Cin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Da Cin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 2535 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for 2535 Stock Analysis

When running Da Cin's price analysis, check to measure Da Cin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Da Cin is operating at the current time. Most of Da Cin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Da Cin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Da Cin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Da Cin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.