Parksystems Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

140860 Stock  KRW 194,500  4,100  2.06%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Parksystems Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 194,500 with a mean absolute deviation of 4,830 and the sum of the absolute errors of 289,800. Parksystems Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Parksystems Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Parksystems Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Parksystems Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Parksystems Corp simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Parksystems Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Parksystems Corp prices get older.

Parksystems Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Parksystems Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 194,500 with a mean absolute deviation of 4,830, mean absolute percentage error of 45,074,667, and the sum of the absolute errors of 289,800.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Parksystems Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Parksystems Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Parksystems Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Parksystems CorpParksystems Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Parksystems Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Parksystems Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Parksystems Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 194,497 and 194,503, respectively. We have considered Parksystems Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
194,500
194,497
Downside
194,500
Expected Value
194,503
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Parksystems Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Parksystems Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria133.8965
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -316.6667
MADMean absolute deviation4830.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0245
SAESum of the absolute errors289800.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Parksystems Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Parksystems Corp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Parksystems Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parksystems Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
198,597198,600198,603
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
165,351165,354218,460
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
197,267201,367205,467
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Parksystems Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Parksystems Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Parksystems Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Parksystems Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Parksystems Corp

For every potential investor in Parksystems, whether a beginner or expert, Parksystems Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Parksystems Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Parksystems. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Parksystems Corp's price trends.

Parksystems Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Parksystems Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Parksystems Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Parksystems Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Parksystems Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Parksystems Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Parksystems Corp's current price.

Parksystems Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Parksystems Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Parksystems Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Parksystems Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Parksystems Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Parksystems Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Parksystems Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Parksystems Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting parksystems stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Parksystems Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Parksystems Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Parksystems Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Parksystems Stock

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  0.32005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Parksystems Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Parksystems Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Parksystems Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Parksystems Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Parksystems Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Parksystems Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Parksystems Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Parksystems Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Parksystems Stock

Parksystems Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Parksystems Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Parksystems with respect to the benefits of owning Parksystems Corp security.