Robotis CoLtd Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

108490 Stock   21,350  450.00  2.06%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Robotis CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 19,344 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,206 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49,428. Robotis Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Robotis CoLtd stock prices and determine the direction of Robotis CoLtd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Robotis CoLtd's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Robotis CoLtd is based on a synthetically constructed Robotis CoLtddaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Robotis CoLtd 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Robotis CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 19,344 with a mean absolute deviation of 1,206, mean absolute percentage error of 2,617,455, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49,428.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Robotis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Robotis CoLtd's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Robotis CoLtd Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Robotis CoLtdRobotis CoLtd Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Robotis CoLtd Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Robotis CoLtd's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Robotis CoLtd's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19,341 and 19,348, respectively. We have considered Robotis CoLtd's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21,350
19,341
Downside
19,344
Expected Value
19,348
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Robotis CoLtd stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Robotis CoLtd stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.1307
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -322.8537
MADMean absolute deviation1205.561
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0612
SAESum of the absolute errors49428.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Robotis CoLtd 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Robotis CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Robotis CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21,34721,35021,353
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20,54720,55023,485
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17,76119,61421,467
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Robotis CoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Robotis CoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Robotis CoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Robotis CoLtd.

Other Forecasting Options for Robotis CoLtd

For every potential investor in Robotis, whether a beginner or expert, Robotis CoLtd's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Robotis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Robotis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Robotis CoLtd's price trends.

Robotis CoLtd Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Robotis CoLtd stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Robotis CoLtd could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Robotis CoLtd by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Robotis CoLtd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Robotis CoLtd's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Robotis CoLtd's current price.

Robotis CoLtd Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Robotis CoLtd stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Robotis CoLtd shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Robotis CoLtd stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Robotis CoLtd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Robotis CoLtd Risk Indicators

The analysis of Robotis CoLtd's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Robotis CoLtd's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting robotis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Robotis CoLtd

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Robotis CoLtd position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Robotis CoLtd will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Robotis Stock

  0.39000660 SK HynixPairCorr
  0.31126340 Vina TechnologyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Robotis CoLtd could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Robotis CoLtd when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Robotis CoLtd - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Robotis CoLtd to buy it.
The correlation of Robotis CoLtd is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Robotis CoLtd moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Robotis CoLtd moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Robotis CoLtd can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Robotis Stock

Robotis CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Robotis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Robotis with respect to the benefits of owning Robotis CoLtd security.