Amundi MSCI Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

0P0001PY0U   1,213  17.36  1.45%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amundi MSCI UK on the next trading day is expected to be 1,208 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 786.35. Amundi Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Amundi MSCI price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Amundi MSCI Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Amundi MSCI UK on the next trading day is expected to be 1,208 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.89, mean absolute percentage error of 229.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 786.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amundi Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amundi MSCI's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amundi MSCI Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Amundi MSCIAmundi MSCI Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Amundi MSCI Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amundi MSCI's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amundi MSCI's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,207 and 1,209, respectively. We have considered Amundi MSCI's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,213
1,208
Expected Value
1,209
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amundi MSCI fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amundi MSCI fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.548
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation12.891
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0106
SAESum of the absolute errors786.3533
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Amundi MSCI UK historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Amundi MSCI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi MSCI UK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2121,2131,214
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0921,2141,215
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,2021,2201,239
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Amundi MSCI

For every potential investor in Amundi, whether a beginner or expert, Amundi MSCI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amundi Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amundi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amundi MSCI's price trends.

Amundi MSCI Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amundi MSCI fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amundi MSCI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amundi MSCI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amundi MSCI UK Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amundi MSCI's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amundi MSCI's current price.

Amundi MSCI Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amundi MSCI fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amundi MSCI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amundi MSCI fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Amundi MSCI UK entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amundi MSCI Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amundi MSCI's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amundi MSCI's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amundi fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Amundi Fund

Amundi MSCI financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amundi Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amundi with respect to the benefits of owning Amundi MSCI security.
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