Amundi Convictions Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Amundi Convictions simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Amundi Convictions ESR are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Amundi Convictions ESR prices get older.

Amundi Convictions Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amundi Convictions ESR on the next trading day is expected to be 195.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 1.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.50.

Amundi Convictions Fund Forecast Pattern

Amundi Convictions Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amundi Convictions fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amundi Convictions fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Amundi Convictions ESR forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Amundi Convictions observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Amundi Convictions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi Convictions ESR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Amundi Convictions

For every potential investor in Amundi, whether a beginner or expert, Amundi Convictions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amundi Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amundi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amundi Convictions' price trends.

Amundi Convictions Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Amundi Convictions ESR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amundi Convictions' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amundi Convictions' current price.

Amundi Convictions Market Strength Events

Amundi Convictions Risk Indicators

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