Amundi Label Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

0P0000GHOY   174.31  1.15  0.66%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Amundi Label Equilibre on the next trading day is expected to be 173.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.32. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Amundi Label's fund prices and determine the direction of Amundi Label Equilibre's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Amundi Label Equilibre is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Amundi Label 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 20th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Amundi Label Equilibre on the next trading day is expected to be 173.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amundi Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amundi Label's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amundi Label Fund Forecast Pattern

Amundi Label Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amundi Label's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amundi Label's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 173.40 and 174.27, respectively. We have considered Amundi Label's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
174.31
173.40
Downside
173.84
Expected Value
174.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amundi Label fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amundi Label fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.8638
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1947
MADMean absolute deviation0.8829
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0051
SAESum of the absolute errors50.3225
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Amundi Label. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Amundi Label Equilibre and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Amundi Label

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi Label Equilibre. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Amundi Label

For every potential investor in Amundi, whether a beginner or expert, Amundi Label's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amundi Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amundi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amundi Label's price trends.

Amundi Label Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amundi Label fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amundi Label could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amundi Label by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amundi Label Equilibre Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amundi Label's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amundi Label's current price.

Amundi Label Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amundi Label fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amundi Label shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amundi Label fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Amundi Label Equilibre entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amundi Label Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amundi Label's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amundi Label's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amundi fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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