Accelleron Industries Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

0ACC Stock   46.82  0.22  0.47%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Accelleron Industries AG on the next trading day is expected to be 46.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.55. Accelleron Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Accelleron Industries AG is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Accelleron Industries 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Accelleron Industries AG on the next trading day is expected to be 46.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Accelleron Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Accelleron Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Accelleron Industries Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Accelleron Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Accelleron Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.6153
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0822
MADMean absolute deviation0.7114
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0148
SAESum of the absolute errors40.55
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Accelleron Industries. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Accelleron Industries AG and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Accelleron Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accelleron Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.3946.8248.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.2539.6851.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
44.5347.4950.46
Details

Accelleron Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Accelleron Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Accelleron Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Accelleron Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Accelleron Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Accelleron Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Accelleron Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Accelleron Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Accelleron Industries AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Accelleron Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of Accelleron Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Accelleron Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting accelleron stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Accelleron Stock Analysis

When running Accelleron Industries' price analysis, check to measure Accelleron Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Accelleron Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Accelleron Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Accelleron Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Accelleron Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Accelleron Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.