InBody CoLtd Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

041830 Stock  KRW 21,300  500.00  2.29%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of InBody CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 21,300 with a mean absolute deviation of 333.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20,000. InBody Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast InBody CoLtd stock prices and determine the direction of InBody CoLtd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of InBody CoLtd's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
InBody CoLtd simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for InBody CoLtd are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as InBody CoLtd prices get older.

InBody CoLtd Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of InBody CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 21,300 with a mean absolute deviation of 333.33, mean absolute percentage error of 201,500, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20,000.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict InBody Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that InBody CoLtd's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

InBody CoLtd Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest InBody CoLtdInBody CoLtd Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

InBody CoLtd Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting InBody CoLtd's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. InBody CoLtd's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21,298 and 21,302, respectively. We have considered InBody CoLtd's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21,300
21,298
Downside
21,300
Expected Value
21,302
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of InBody CoLtd stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent InBody CoLtd stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.4862
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 45.0
MADMean absolute deviation333.3333
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0147
SAESum of the absolute errors20000.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting InBody CoLtd forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent InBody CoLtd observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for InBody CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InBody CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21,29821,30021,302
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20,29620,29823,430
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20,97122,16523,359
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as InBody CoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against InBody CoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, InBody CoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in InBody CoLtd.

Other Forecasting Options for InBody CoLtd

For every potential investor in InBody, whether a beginner or expert, InBody CoLtd's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. InBody Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in InBody. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying InBody CoLtd's price trends.

InBody CoLtd Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with InBody CoLtd stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of InBody CoLtd could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing InBody CoLtd by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

InBody CoLtd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of InBody CoLtd's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of InBody CoLtd's current price.

InBody CoLtd Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how InBody CoLtd stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading InBody CoLtd shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying InBody CoLtd stock market strength indicators, traders can identify InBody CoLtd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

InBody CoLtd Risk Indicators

The analysis of InBody CoLtd's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in InBody CoLtd's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inbody stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with InBody CoLtd

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if InBody CoLtd position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in InBody CoLtd will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with InBody Stock

  0.73005935 Samsung ElectronicsPairCorr

Moving against InBody Stock

  0.66003535 Hanwha InvestmentSecuriPairCorr
  0.61122870 YG EntertainmentPairCorr
  0.58032640 LG UplusPairCorr
  0.53011390 Busan IndustrialPairCorr
  0.5041510 SM EntertainmentPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to InBody CoLtd could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace InBody CoLtd when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back InBody CoLtd - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling InBody CoLtd to buy it.
The correlation of InBody CoLtd is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as InBody CoLtd moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if InBody CoLtd moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for InBody CoLtd can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in InBody Stock

InBody CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether InBody Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in InBody with respect to the benefits of owning InBody CoLtd security.