Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

002893 Stock   11.87  0.16  1.37%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Thermal on the next trading day is expected to be 11.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.18. Beijing Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Beijing HuaYuanYiTong stock prices and determine the direction of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Thermal's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Current Assets Total is expected to grow to about 1.1 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 2.1 B.
A two period moving average forecast for Beijing HuaYuanYiTong is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Thermal on the next trading day is expected to be 11.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Beijing Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Stock Forecast Pattern

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Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.21 and 15.53, respectively. We have considered Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.87
11.87
Expected Value
15.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Beijing HuaYuanYiTong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4265
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0951
MADMean absolute deviation0.2742
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0261
SAESum of the absolute errors16.18
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Thermal price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Beijing HuaYuanYiTong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing HuaYuanYiTong. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.0911.7115.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.2910.9114.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.3411.6211.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing HuaYuanYiTong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing HuaYuanYiTong.

Other Forecasting Options for Beijing HuaYuanYiTong

For every potential investor in Beijing, whether a beginner or expert, Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Beijing Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Beijing. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's price trends.

Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Beijing HuaYuanYiTong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Beijing HuaYuanYiTong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's current price.

Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Beijing HuaYuanYiTong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Beijing HuaYuanYiTong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Beijing HuaYuanYiTong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Thermal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Beijing HuaYuanYiTong Risk Indicators

The analysis of Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Beijing HuaYuanYiTong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beijing stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing HuaYuanYiTong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing HuaYuanYiTong security.